Strategy

ICT 2022 Model — The Complete Mentorship Framework

Master the institutional algorithm from HTF bias to LTF execution, including the Unicorn Model, Turtle Soup, and Judas Swing.

5 Modules 14 Lessons ~3.5 Hours
Module 1
ICT 2022 Model Foundations
Understand where this model comes from, how its timeframe stack works, and why the ICT 2022 curriculum changed the way serious traders approach the market.
Lesson 1.1

What is the ICT 2022 Model?

⏱ 9 min read

The ICT 2022 Model — formally known as the ICT 2022 Mentorship Model — is the most complete and structured trading framework ever released by Michael Huddleston (Inner Circle Trader). Published as part of his 2022 mentorship curriculum on YouTube, it synthesises over two decades of market research into a single, actionable process for identifying and exploiting institutional order flow.

Unlike many trading systems that offer entry signals without context, the ICT 2022 Model is a full decision-making framework. It begins at the monthly chart, works down through the weekly and daily for directional bias, then zooms into the 15-minute and below for execution. Every element — timing, premium/discount zones, liquidity mapping, displacement identification, and entry structure — is defined with precision.

ICT 2022 Model overview showing HTF to LTF multi-timeframe analysis

The ICT 2022 Model flows from Monthly/Weekly/Daily bias down through 1H structure to 15M/5M/1M execution

Origin and Context

ICT released his 2022 mentorship as a free public course with the stated goal of producing traders who understood price delivery at an algorithmic level — not simply pattern-matching. The model builds on his decade of public teaching and represents the clearest distillation of his core concepts:

  • The algorithm delivers price — markets are not random but driven by coded sequences of accumulation, manipulation, and distribution
  • Institutional order flow leaves footprints — order blocks, fair value gaps, and breaker blocks are the traces of large-order execution
  • Time is a filter — specific session windows concentrate institutional activity, making those windows the only periods worth trading
  • Liquidity is the magnet — price moves toward concentrations of resting orders (above highs and below lows), not toward levels retail traders "expect"

Why the 2022 Model Stands Apart

Previous ICT material covered individual concepts in isolation. The 2022 model does something different — it provides an ordered sequence of decisions that takes a trader from pre-market preparation all the way through trade exit. This is the model that prop firm candidates and full-time traders study most intensively because it answers the question that most strategies ignore: "What do I do when my setup appears — and how do I know if the context is right?"

Daily Bias
The overarching direction determined from monthly, weekly, and daily structure. Everything below this is filtered by this bias.
Session Sequencing
London open and New York open are not interchangeable. The model defines precise roles for each session in the day's price delivery.
Liquidity Sweep
Price must hunt stops before the true directional move. This sweep is a prerequisite, not an afterthought.
Market Structure Shift
The on-screen confirmation that institutional flow has switched direction. Used to time the actual entry, not the analysis.
PD Array Entry
Entry is always at a Price Delivery Array — an order block, FVG, or breaker — never at a round number or trendline alone.
Minimum 1:3 R:R
The model mandates at least a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio. Sub-3R setups are filtered out regardless of other conditions.
ℹ️
Free Source

The entire ICT 2022 mentorship is available free on Michael Huddleston's YouTube channel (Inner Circle Trader). This course distills its tradeable framework so you can apply it efficiently without watching hundreds of hours of content first.

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Key Takeaway

The ICT 2022 Model is a complete top-down framework: define bias from HTF, sequence sessions to identify who moved first, wait for a liquidity sweep, confirm with an MSS, enter at a PD array, and target opposing liquidity with a minimum 1:3 R:R. Every step has a defined purpose.

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What to Note Down
  • The ICT 2022 Model is a sequential, top-down decision framework — not a single entry signal
  • It combines: HTF bias → session sequencing → liquidity sweep → MSS → PD array entry
  • Minimum required R:R is 1:3 — setups below this are discarded
  • Best markets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, DXY, ES, NQ, Gold
  • All elements were released free via ICT's 2022 YouTube mentorship

Quick Quiz

1. The ICT 2022 Model begins its analysis at which timeframe?

2. What is the minimum risk-to-reward ratio required by the ICT 2022 Model?

3. In the ICT 2022 Model, which element must occur BEFORE the true directional move?

4. What is the entry point in the ICT 2022 Model called?

Lesson 1.2

Core Elements & The Timeframe Stack

⏱ 10 min read

The ICT 2022 Model operates across a defined timeframe stack. Each timeframe has a specific role. Using a timeframe for the wrong purpose is one of the most common mistakes new traders make. This lesson maps out exactly which timeframe does what.

The Complete Timeframe Stack

Timeframe Role in the Model What You're Looking For
Monthly Macro directional bias Is the long-term structure bullish (higher highs/lows) or bearish? Where are major liquidity pools?
Weekly Intermediate bias confirmation Does weekly structure agree with monthly? Where is the weekly draw on liquidity (next equal highs/lows)?
Daily Day's directional bias Premium or discount? Where will today's session seek liquidity? Is today a trend day or range day?
4-Hour Structural context Refines daily view. Helps identify major order blocks and FVGs that the market respects on a medium-term basis.
1-Hour Overall intraday view Track the sequence: did London sweep a high or low? What's the post-London structure look like?
15-Minute Liquidity identification Mark intraday BSL and SSL. Identify the nearest swing highs and lows where stops cluster. This is the "setup" chart.
5-Minute Entry confirmation Watch for MSS and FVG formation after the liquidity sweep. Used to time entry precisely.
1-Minute / 3-Minute Precision execution Fine-tune entry after MSS. Identify the exact FVG to place the limit order or the confirmation candle to enter at market.

Core Elements Every Trade Must Have

The ICT 2022 Model requires all of the following to be present before a trade is valid:

1
Daily Bias Established

The daily chart must clearly be in a premium (bearish bias) or discount zone (bullish bias) relative to the most recent dealing range. If price is at equilibrium (50% of the dealing range), no trade is taken.

2
Liquidity Sweep (Stop Hunt)

Price must take out a visible liquidity level — a swing high, equal highs, prior session high/low, or trendline liquidity. This sweep provides the fuel for the directional move and signals that institutional orders are being filled.

3
Market Structure Shift (MSS)

After the sweep, a market structure shift must occur on the lower timeframe (5M or 1M). This is confirmed by a displacement candle that creates an FVG and breaks a recent swing high (for bullish MSS) or swing low (for bearish MSS).

4
PD Array for Entry

Price retraces into the FVG created during the displacement or into the order block that preceded the displacement. Entry is placed at the consequent encroachment (CE) of the FVG — the 50% midpoint — or at the high/low edge of the order block.

5
Session Alignment

The trade must take place during a kill zone — London Open (2–5 AM EST), New York AM (7–11 AM EST), or New York PM (1–3 PM EST). Trades taken outside of kill zones have lower institutional backing and lower probability.

Premium and Discount: The Mandatory Filter

Before any trade is considered, the model requires that price is at an extreme of the dealing range — not at the middle (equilibrium). Here is how to apply the filter:

Draw Fibonacci from recent swing low to swing high. Below 50% = Discount Zone (look for LONGS). Above 50% = Premium Zone (look for SHORTS). At 50% = Avoid — no directional edge.

The premium/discount filter prevents the most common retail mistake: buying at the top of a range (paying retail price) or selling at the bottom. Smart money buys in discount and sells in premium — and the model aligns you with their activity.

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Key Takeaway

The ICT 2022 Model uses an 8-timeframe stack, each with a specific role. The five mandatory elements are: daily bias established, liquidity sweep confirmed, MSS on LTF, entry at a PD array, and session timing within a kill zone. The premium/discount filter ensures you are buying cheap and selling expensive — aligned with institutional logic.

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What to Note Down
  • Monthly/Weekly/Daily = bias; 1H = context; 15M = setup; 5M/1M = execution
  • 5 mandatory elements: daily bias, liquidity sweep, MSS, PD array entry, kill zone timing
  • Premium zone = sell; Discount zone = buy; Equilibrium = avoid
  • The 4H is used to refine daily view and find major OBs/FVGs, not for entries
  • Entry is always at CE (50% of FVG) or OB boundary — never at a round number alone

Quick Quiz

1. Which timeframe is used for liquidity identification (marking BSL and SSL) in the ICT 2022 Model?

2. In a bullish scenario, where should price be in the dealing range before entering a long trade?

3. What confirms a Market Structure Shift (MSS) in the ICT 2022 Model?

Lesson 1.3

HTF Bias: Monthly, Weekly & Daily Analysis

⏱ 11 min read

The HTF (Higher Timeframe) bias is the single most important determination in the ICT 2022 Model. Every trade you take on a 1-minute chart is either aligned with or against this macro bias. Getting the bias wrong means every subsequent decision is built on a flawed foundation.

Step 1 — Monthly Chart Analysis

Open the monthly chart first. Ask these questions in sequence:

  • Market structure: Is price making higher highs and higher lows (bullish) or lower highs and lower lows (bearish)?
  • Current location: Is price at a major monthly order block, FVG, or premium/discount extreme?
  • Draw on liquidity: Where are the nearest monthly equal highs (buy-side) or equal lows (sell-side)? These are the macro magnets.
  • Recent Break of Structure (BOS): Has price recently broken a major monthly swing high or low? A monthly BOS carries enormous weight — it sets the bias for weeks or months.
ℹ️
Monthly Candles Are Slow — Use Them for Direction Only

You will not find entry signals on the monthly chart. Its only purpose is to define the macro direction. A bullish monthly structure means you should be primarily looking to buy on all lower timeframes — you are fighting the macro trend when you take short trades in a bullish monthly structure.

Step 2 — Weekly Chart Analysis

Move to the weekly chart. The weekly chart reveals the intermediate trend and often tells you where the week's price will deliver:

  • Does the weekly structure agree with monthly? If monthly is bullish but weekly shows a lower high being made, there may be a temporary correction before continuation. Do not fight both timeframes simultaneously.
  • Weekly draw on liquidity: Mark the prior week's high and low — these are the most consistently targeted liquidity pools in the ICT model. In a bullish week, price often sweeps the prior week's low before rallying to the prior week's high.
  • Weekly fair value gap: If a weekly FVG is present below the current price (bullish scenario), that is a high-probability magnet for the week's price action — institutions will want to fill that inefficiency before continuing higher.
  • ICT Weekly PO3: Apply the Power of Three concept on the weekly chart — accumulation (Monday), manipulation (early in the week — often a false move), distribution (the real directional move mid-to-late week).

Step 3 — Daily Chart Analysis

The daily chart is where the daily bias is formally established — the bias that filters all intraday trades. This is your primary pre-session preparation step, done before the market opens each day:

A
Identify the dealing range

Find the most recent significant swing high and swing low. This is the dealing range. Draw a Fibonacci tool from the low to the high to identify the 50% equilibrium, premium zone (above 50%), and discount zone (below 50%).

B
Determine premium or discount location

If price is currently in the discount zone (below 50% of the dealing range), the daily bias is bullish — you are looking for longs. If price is in the premium zone (above 50%), the daily bias is bearish — looking for shorts only.

C
Mark daily draw on liquidity

Identify where today's price is likely being drawn. Is there a daily FVG above current price (bullish magnet)? Equal lows below that smart money wants to take? The draw on liquidity tells you the destination, not the direction alone.

D
Mark daily PD arrays

Note any unmitigated daily order blocks, fair value gaps, or breaker blocks near current price. These are the zones where the market is most likely to react — your macro entry zones. LTF entries will be within or near these daily structures.

E
Assess the prior day's context

Did yesterday's daily candle close bullishly or bearishly? A bullish close (price in the upper third of the daily candle) suggests continuation. A bearish close (price in the lower third) after a sweep of sell-side suggests reversal potential.

The Alignment Requirement

For the highest probability setups, all three timeframes should agree on direction:

  • Monthly: bullish structure → Weekly: bullish → Daily: in discount zone → All green light for longs
  • Monthly: bullish but Weekly shows correction → Daily in discount → Still valid, but expect more volatility
  • Monthly bullish but Daily in premium → No longs until price retraces to discount or pushes to new monthly highs
Think of it like navigating: the monthly chart is your country-level map — it tells you which region you're in. The weekly is your city map — it shows which district. The daily is your street map — it tells you exactly which block you are standing on. You never skip straight to the GPS navigation without first confirming you are in the right city.
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Key Takeaway

HTF bias flows downward: Monthly defines macro direction → Weekly refines with intermediate trend and prior week's highs/lows → Daily establishes the specific premium/discount location and marks today's draw on liquidity. All intraday trades must be filtered through this top-down analysis. Trading against the daily bias is the fastest way to accumulate losses in the ICT 2022 Model.

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What to Note Down
  • Monthly chart: macro structure direction + major liquidity targets
  • Weekly chart: prior week high/low = primary weekly liquidity targets; weekly FVGs = magnets
  • Daily chart: dealing range → premium/discount → draw on liquidity → PD arrays
  • All three must agree OR have a clear reason why a lower TF correction is expected
  • If daily is at equilibrium — no trade. Wait for a push to premium or discount.

Quick Quiz

1. What does the weekly ICT Power of Three say about Tuesday or Wednesday price action?

2. Price is at 65% of the daily dealing range (between the swing low and swing high). What does the ICT 2022 Model say about this?

3. Which of these is identified on the weekly chart as the primary weekly liquidity target?

Module 2
Liquidity & Displacement
The hunt for liquidity is the engine of the ICT 2022 Model. Learn to identify where stops cluster, why price sweeps them, and how to read the displacement that follows.
Lesson 2.1

Identifying Liquidity Targets

⏱ 10 min read

In the ICT 2022 Model, liquidity is everything. Price does not move toward support or resistance in the traditional sense. It moves toward pools of resting orders — and specifically toward the stop-loss orders of retail traders who have placed them at obvious levels. Once you learn to see these liquidity pools, you understand where price is being drawn before it gets there.

Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL)

Buy-side liquidity sits above price. It consists of:

  • Short-sellers' stop-loss orders — retail shorts always place their stops above swing highs, equal highs, or resistance levels
  • Breakout buy orders — momentum traders waiting to buy a breakout above obvious resistance
  • Equal highs — two or more highs at the same level are an obvious magnet. The more equal the highs, the more stops cluster there.
  • Prior session highs — yesterday's high, last week's high, London session high
  • Trendline highs — retail traders who draw trendlines place their short entries and stops at these levels

Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL)

Sell-side liquidity sits below price. It consists of:

  • Long-holders' stop-loss orders — retail longs always place their stops below swing lows, equal lows, or support
  • Breakout sell orders — momentum traders waiting to short a breakdown below obvious support
  • Equal lows — the ICT equivalent of "double bottom" is a liquidity magnet, not a support level
  • Prior session lows — yesterday's low, last week's low, Asian session low
  • Trendline lows — retail long entries on trendline touches become stop concentrations

Internal vs. External Liquidity

TypeLocationRole in the ModelExample
Internal Within the current range/trend Near-term objectives; stepping stones to external targets Minor swing highs/lows within today's range
External Beyond the current range boundaries Major reversal points; primary draw on liquidity Prior week's high, monthly swing high, major equal lows

The Draw on Liquidity (DOL)

The Draw on Liquidity (DOL) is the concept that at any given time, price is algorithmically attracted to the nearest significant liquidity pool. Your primary analytical task is to identify the DOL before entering any trade.

1
Mark all visible equal highs/lows on 15M chart

These are your intraday liquidity pools. Use horizontal lines at each level. Note which side (BSL or SSL) is nearest.

2
Determine which side price will likely target first

Cross-reference with daily bias. If daily is bullish (discount zone), the DOL should be above price (BSL). If daily is bearish (premium), DOL is below (SSL).

3
Identify the sweep sequence

In a bullish day, price often sweeps SSL (sell-side) first (stops out the late longs) before reversing and targeting BSL. Recognising this sequence is critical — don't get stopped out on the Judas move.

4
Mark your final target (external liquidity)

After identifying the entry direction, mark the external liquidity target where you will take profit. This is typically the prior session's high (for longs) or low (for shorts), or a major swing level from the daily chart.

How to Mark Liquidity on Your Chart

Precision marking prevents missed setups and false readings. Use this protocol:

  • Mark equal highs: two or more candle highs within 1–3 pips/ticks of each other → draw a single horizontal line at that level, labeled "BSL"
  • Mark equal lows: two or more candle lows within 1–3 pips → label "SSL"
  • Mark prior session extremes: yesterday's high and low, prior week's high and low — these are the most consistently targeted intraday levels
  • Mark Asian session range: the high and low of the 8:00 PM – midnight EST window — London frequently sweeps one or both of these levels
⚠️
Common Error: Confusing Support/Resistance with Liquidity

In the ICT 2022 Model, "support" is not where price bounces — it is where stops concentrate. When price approaches what retail traders call "support," smart money sees a pool of long stop-losses to harvest. The model teaches you to expect a brief sweep through "support" before a reversal — not a clean bounce from it.

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Key Takeaway

Liquidity pools sit above equal highs (BSL) and below equal lows (SSL). The Draw on Liquidity (DOL) is where price is currently headed. Before entering any trade, identify: (1) which side holds the nearest liquidity, (2) which side is your target, and (3) what sequence price will likely follow to get there — including any manipulation sweep in the opposite direction first.

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What to Note Down
  • BSL = buy-side liquidity above price (equal highs, prior session highs, trendline highs)
  • SSL = sell-side liquidity below price (equal lows, prior session lows, trendline lows)
  • DOL = the nearest significant liquidity pool price is attracted toward
  • In a bullish day: price sweeps SSL first, then targets BSL
  • Mark equal highs/lows within 1–3 pips on 15M chart as your intraday liquidity map
  • Prior session high/low is the most consistently targeted intraday level

Quick Quiz

1. In the ICT 2022 Model, what is the primary significance of "equal lows" on a chart?

2. In a bullish daily bias scenario, what sequence does the ICT 2022 Model expect for intraday price delivery?

3. What is the "Draw on Liquidity" (DOL)?

Lesson 2.2

Waiting for Displacement

⏱ 9 min read

Displacement is the confirmation that institutional order flow has entered the market aggressively. It is not enough for price to sweep a liquidity level — that sweep must be followed by a strong, directional move in the opposite direction. That impulsive move is the displacement, and it is the trigger for your trade analysis on the lower timeframe.

What Displacement Looks Like

Displacement has specific visual characteristics that distinguish it from ordinary price movement:

Wide-Bodied Candles
Multiple consecutive candles with large bodies and minimal wicks. The lack of wicks indicates one-sided aggression — no opposing interest.
Fair Value Gap Created
The displacement is strong enough that the three-candle FVG condition is met — Candle 1's high does not touch Candle 3's low (or vice versa). This gap is the entry zone.
Structure Break
The displacement breaks a recent swing high (bullish) or swing low (bearish) on the lower timeframe. This is the Market Structure Shift confirmation.
Speed
Institutional displacement happens fast. On a 1-minute chart, a real displacement may cover 20–30 pips on EUR/USD in 2–3 candles. Slow grinds are not displacement.

Why You Must Wait for Displacement — Not the Sweep Alone

One of the most common errors in the ICT model is entering the trade at the exact moment of the liquidity sweep. This is wrong for two reasons:

  1. The sweep can extend: Price may overshoot the obvious liquidity level and sweep even deeper before reversing. If you entered at the first sweep, you are now stopped out or deep underwater.
  2. Without displacement, there is no confirmation: A sweep alone does not tell you that institutions have entered. The displacement is the evidence that smart money is now aggressively pushing in the opposite direction — validating the reversal thesis.
Think of it like a spring: the liquidity sweep compresses the spring. The displacement is when the spring releases. You don't step on the spring and wait — you watch it release, confirm it's moving powerfully, and then ride the momentum by entering at the next retracement.

The Displacement + FVG Entry Mechanism

Once displacement occurs, it creates a FVG (fair value gap). This FVG is your entry vehicle. Here is the sequence:

1
Liquidity swept

Price runs the equal lows (SSL) or equal highs (BSL) on the 15M chart during a kill zone.

2
Displacement begins on 5M or 1M

A strong, wide-bodied candle (or series of candles) launches in the opposite direction of the sweep. Wicks are minimal. The candle closes aggressively.

3
FVG identified

The displacement creates a three-candle FVG. Mark the gap between Candle 1's extreme and Candle 3's extreme on the 1M or 5M chart.

4
MSS confirmed

The displacement breaks a recent swing high (bullish scenario) or swing low (bearish scenario) on the LTF, confirming the Market Structure Shift.

5
Wait for retracement into FVG

After the MSS, price often retraces back toward the FVG. Place a limit order at the CE (50% midpoint) of the FVG. Alternatively, wait for a rejection candle within the FVG and enter at market.

6
Stop loss below FVG, target the DOL

Stop is placed below the FVG low (for longs) or above FVG high (for shorts). Target is the Draw on Liquidity established in pre-market analysis.

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Key Takeaway

Displacement is the institutional proof of intent. It is identified by wide-bodied candles, FVG creation, and an LTF market structure shift — all occurring rapidly after a liquidity sweep. You do not enter at the sweep. You enter at the FVG created by the displacement, after the MSS is confirmed.

📝
What to Note Down
  • Displacement = wide-bodied candles + FVG created + structure break, all happening fast
  • Never enter at the sweep — the sweep can extend; wait for the displacement
  • The displacement creates the FVG that is your entry zone (CE = 50% midpoint)
  • MSS = the displacement breaks a recent swing on the LTF after the sweep
  • Sequence: Sweep → Displacement → MSS → FVG → Retracement → Entry

Quick Quiz

1. Why should you NOT enter a trade immediately at the liquidity sweep?

2. Which of the following best describes what "displacement" creates that is used for the trade entry?

3. In the ICT 2022 Model entry sequence, what happens immediately after the displacement?

Lesson 2.3

London vs New York Sequencing

⏱ 9 min read

One of the most underappreciated elements of the ICT 2022 Model is the relationship between the London session and the New York session. The model is explicit: these two sessions are not independent — they follow a sequential pattern where one session's outcome defines the other's opportunity.

The Two Possible London Outcomes

When London opens (approximately 2:00 AM – 5:00 AM EST), one of two things happens:

London OutcomeWhat This MeansNew York Expectation
London sweeps a significant high or low Smart money used the London session to take liquidity. The sweep is the manipulation phase of the day's Power of Three. New York session is likely to move in the opposite direction from the London sweep — distributing price toward the opposing liquidity pool.
London consolidates in a tight range No significant liquidity taken. Accumulation is ongoing. Smart money has not yet shown their hand. New York session is likely to create the directional breakout — London's range will be swept and price will seek liquidity in the dominant direction.

The Three-Session Daily Framework

The ICT 2022 Model views the trading day through three sessions:

1
Asian Session (8:00 PM – Midnight EST) — Accumulation

Low volatility. Tight range. Smart money quietly positioning. The Asian range's high and low become the key levels that London will target. Mark the Asian range: if London sweeps the Asian low, expect a bullish day; if it sweeps the Asian high, expect a bearish day.

2
London Session (2:00 AM – 5:00 AM EST) — Manipulation

Higher volume, sharp moves. London frequently creates the Judas Swing — a false directional move that traps retail traders before reversing. The London session often creates the day's high OR the day's low — but rarely both. Monitor which extreme London creates.

3
New York Session (7:00 AM – 11:00 AM EST) — Distribution

The real directional move. New York takes the liquidity identified at pre-market analysis and drives price toward it. If London created the day's low (by sweeping sell-side), New York creates the day's high (targeting buy-side). The NY AM kill zone (7–11 AM) is the primary trading window.

Practical Application: Reading the Sequence Each Day

  1. Mark the Asian session range (high and low) by midnight EST
  2. At 2:00 AM (London open), watch which direction London moves
  3. If London sweeps the Asian low on high volume with a sharp reversal → expect the day to be bullish → NY will target the prior day's high or equal highs above
  4. If London sweeps the Asian high with reversal → expect bearish day → NY targets prior day's low or equal lows
  5. If London makes no clear sweep → await NY open for the directional move → the 7–9 AM EST window often resolves the day's direction
ℹ️
Daylight Saving Note

ICT tracks all session times in New York local time, not UTC. When DST changes, the model adjusts automatically because it's anchored to NY time. If you are in Europe or Asia, always calculate your local equivalent from NY local time — not UTC.

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Key Takeaway

London and New York are sequential, not independent. London creates liquidity sweeps (the Judas Swing / manipulation) while New York delivers the true directional move. If London swept sell-side (below a low), New York will target buy-side. This sequencing gives you advance warning of the day's direction before New York even opens.

📝
What to Note Down
  • Asian = accumulation (tight range); London = manipulation (Judas Swing); NY = distribution (real move)
  • If London sweeps sell-side → NY expected to be bullish (buy-side target)
  • If London sweeps buy-side → NY expected to be bearish (sell-side target)
  • If London tight range → NY creates the directional breakout
  • Mark Asian range by midnight EST — London will target one extreme
  • NY AM kill zone (7:00–11:00 AM EST) is the primary trading window

Quick Quiz

1. According to the ICT 2022 Model, if London sweeps sell-side liquidity (a low), what should New York typically do?

2. The Asian session in the ICT 2022 daily framework corresponds to which phase of the Power of Three?

3. What time window is identified as the primary NY trading window in the ICT 2022 Model?

Module 3
LTF Execution
The execution layer where analysis becomes action. Learn to find order blocks and FVGs on the 1-minute and 5-minute charts, place entries precisely, and manage trades to maximum efficiency.
Lesson 3.1

Locating OB & FVG on the Lower Timeframe

⏱ 10 min read

Once your HTF bias is confirmed and you have seen the liquidity sweep followed by displacement, your work moves to the 1-minute and 5-minute charts. Here you identify the exact price delivery array (OB or FVG) that will serve as your entry zone. Precision at this step determines the quality of your stop loss placement and your risk-to-reward ratio.

Which LTF to Use

The ICT 2022 Model primarily uses three lower timeframes for execution, each with a purpose:

  • 5-minute chart: First LTF to switch to after observing the setup on the 15M. Look for the MSS and FVG formation here. The 5M FVG is typically the primary entry zone.
  • 3-minute chart: Alternative execution chart. Some traders prefer the 3M for a slightly tighter read on displacement candles.
  • 1-minute chart: Used for the most precise entry — specifically to find a micro FVG within the displacement or to time a rejection candle at the FVG boundary.

Identifying the LTF Order Block

After a bullish displacement (following an SSL sweep), the order block is the last bearish candle before the displacement began. This candle is the final selling pressure before institutions reversed the market. Its body (specifically the high of the candle) becomes a key entry area on retracement.

ℹ️
Bullish OB After SSL Sweep

Sequence: SSL sweep → displacement begins → look left on the 5M chart to find the last red (bearish) candle before the first displacement candle. Mark from the open to the close of that candle. On retracement, price may tap into this zone — this is the OB entry area.

Identifying the LTF FVG

The FVG created by the displacement is often the primary entry tool. Here is the step-by-step identification on the 5M or 1M chart:

1
Find the displacement candle sequence

Look for 2-4 consecutive bullish (or bearish) candles with wide bodies that launched after the liquidity sweep. These are the displacement candles.

2
Apply the three-candle FVG rule

Within those displacement candles, find the three-candle sequence where Candle 1's high is below Candle 3's low (bullish FVG) or Candle 1's low is above Candle 3's high (bearish FVG). There may be multiple FVGs — select the one closest to the displacement beginning for highest conviction.

3
Mark the FVG boundaries

Draw a horizontal box between Candle 1's high and Candle 3's low. The midpoint of this box is the Consequent Encroachment (CE) — the 50% level where your limit order or rejection entry will be placed.

4
Confirm the MSS

The displacement must have broken a recent swing high (bullish) or swing low (bearish) on the LTF. If no swing was broken, you have a displacement but not yet a confirmed MSS — wait for the break before entering.

The OB vs. FVG Choice

Entry MethodWhen to UseStop PlacementTypical R:R
FVG Entry (CE) Most common; use when a clear FVG formed during displacement Below FVG low (for longs) — tight stop 3:1 to 6:1+
OB Entry When FVG overlaps with the OB zone; adds confluence Below OB low (for longs) 2:1 to 5:1
Unicorn Zone (OB + FVG overlap) Highest conviction — FVG sits inside the OB (see Module 4) Below OB low or FVG low, whichever is lower 4:1 to 10:1+
💡
Key Takeaway

LTF execution starts on the 5M chart after the liquidity sweep. Find the three-candle FVG within the displacement and mark the CE (50% midpoint) as your limit order target. The last bearish candle before the bullish displacement is the LTF order block — a secondary entry area. Confirm the MSS (swing break) before placing any order.

📝
What to Note Down
  • LTF execution: 5M primary, 3M alternative, 1M for precision entry only
  • LTF OB = last opposing candle before the displacement began
  • LTF FVG = three-candle imbalance within the displacement candles
  • CE (Consequent Encroachment) = 50% of FVG = limit order location
  • Unicorn Zone = FVG overlapping with OB = highest conviction entry
  • MSS must be confirmed (swing break) before entering on the FVG retracement

Quick Quiz

1. In a bullish LTF scenario, what is the "LTF Order Block"?

2. Where is the limit order placed when using the FVG CE entry method?

3. What is the "Unicorn Zone" in the ICT 2022 Model?

Lesson 3.2

Entry Rules, Stop Loss & Target Framework

⏱ 10 min read

The ICT 2022 Model has clear, non-negotiable rules for how you enter, where you place your stop, and where you target. This structure is what separates professionals from guessers — every element of risk management is determined before the trade is entered, never improvised after.

Entry Method Options

There are three acceptable entry methods in the ICT 2022 Model. Each has specific conditions for use:

Limit Order at FVG CE
Place a limit order at the 50% midpoint of the FVG. Set the order before price retraces. This is the most efficient entry and maximises R:R. Risk: price may not retrace all the way to the CE.
Limit Order at FVG Boundary
More conservative — place the limit at the entry edge of the FVG (not the CE). Lower R:R but higher probability of fill. Use when the market is moving fast and you prefer guaranteed entry.
Market Entry on Confirmation
Wait for a rejection candle (small wick reversal) within the FVG zone and enter at market after the candle closes. Best for traders uncomfortable with limit orders in volatile conditions.

Stop Loss Placement Rules

Stop loss placement in the ICT 2022 Model is always structural — it is placed at a level that, if hit, definitively invalidates the trade thesis:

  • For FVG entries (long): Stop below the low of the FVG. If price closes below the entire FVG, the trade thesis is invalid — the displacement's imbalance has been violated.
  • For OB entries (long): Stop below the low of the order block candle. This represents the point beyond which the OB is fully mitigated and no longer valid.
  • For MSS entries: Stop below the liquidity sweep extreme (the swing low that was swept before the reversal). This is the widest valid stop — use only if the FVG/OB stop is too tight relative to the target.
⚠️
Never Place a Stop at a Psychological Level

Placing a stop at a round number (1.0800, 1900.00) or at a "safe distance" from entry without structural justification will result in getting hunted. Smart money knows where round-number stops cluster — they are liquidity for institutions. Always place stops below structural lows or above structural highs.

Target Rules and Profit-Taking Framework

Targets in the ICT 2022 Model are defined by the Draw on Liquidity — the next significant liquidity pool in the direction of your trade:

Target LevelTypeWhen to Use
Internal Liquidity (TP1) Nearest swing high (long) or low (short) within today's range Partial close at TP1 (50% of position). Move stop to break-even after TP1 hit.
Prior Session High/Low (TP2) Yesterday's high (for longs) or yesterday's low (for shorts) Primary target. Most reliable daily liquidity pool. Close 25–50% of remaining position.
External Liquidity (TP3) Weekly or monthly swing high/low, equal highs/lows from a higher TF Runner position. Let it go with a trailing stop. Maximum R:R reward zone.

Position Sizing and Risk Management

  • Risk per trade: ICT recommends 0.5% to 1% of account per trade for funded/live accounts. Maximum 2% per trade.
  • Position size calculation: (Account Size × Risk %) ÷ Stop Loss in pips/ticks = Position Size
  • Minimum R:R: 1:3 before entering. If target is less than 3× the stop loss distance, skip the trade.
  • Break-even rule: After TP1 is reached (or 1R profit), move stop to break-even on the remaining position.

Position Size = (Account × Risk%) ÷ Stop Distance  |  Example: $50,000 × 1% = $500 risk ÷ 20 pip stop × pip value = lot size

💡
Key Takeaway

Entry: limit at FVG CE, FVG boundary, or market on rejection candle. Stop: always structural — below FVG low or below the sweep extreme. Targets: internal liquidity (TP1, partial close), prior session extreme (TP2, main target), external liquidity (TP3, runner). Risk: 0.5–1% per trade. Minimum 1:3 R:R required.

📝
What to Note Down
  • 3 entry methods: limit at CE, limit at FVG boundary, or market on rejection candle
  • Stop always structural: below FVG low, below OB low, or below sweep extreme
  • TP1 = internal liquidity (nearest swing); TP2 = prior session high/low; TP3 = external (weekly/monthly)
  • Risk 0.5–1% per trade; never more than 2%
  • Minimum R:R = 1:3 — filter all sub-3R setups before entry
  • After TP1: move stop to break-even on remainder

Quick Quiz

1. Where is the stop loss placed when entering a long trade at an FVG CE in the ICT 2022 Model?

2. What action does the ICT 2022 Model recommend after TP1 (internal liquidity target) is reached?

3. A trade has a 10-pip stop loss. What minimum target distance is required by the ICT 2022 Model before taking the trade?

Lesson 3.3

Real Trade Examples — ICT 2022 Model in Action

⏱ 12 min read

Theory crystallises into skill when you can follow a trade from analysis to execution and back again. This lesson walks through two detailed trade scenarios — one bullish and one bearish — using the complete ICT 2022 Model framework.

Example 1: Bullish EUR/USD Setup (NY AM Session)

Pre-market analysis (completed before 7:00 AM EST):

  • Monthly: EUR/USD in a bullish structure — recent monthly candles making higher highs. Monthly dealing range shows price in the lower discount quadrant.
  • Weekly: Prior week's low sits at 1.08400. Price is trading at 1.08600 — just above prior week's low. The prior week's high at 1.09250 is the primary weekly draw on liquidity.
  • Daily: Daily dealing range from 1.08200 swing low to 1.09100 swing high. Current price at 1.08600 = approximately 44% of the range = discount zone. Daily bias: BULLISH. Draw on liquidity: 1.09100 (prior swing high with equal highs = BSL).

Session analysis (2:00–7:00 AM EST):

  • Asian session formed a range between 1.08540 (low) and 1.08680 (high)
  • London opens: at 3:15 AM, price drops sharply to 1.08350, sweeping the prior week's low at 1.08400 by 50 pips (SSL taken)
  • Reversal candle forms on the 15M — long lower wick, price returns to 1.08500
  • Expectation: London swept sell-side → New York should be bullish, targeting 1.09250

LTF execution (NY AM Kill Zone, 8:00–10:00 AM EST):

  • At 8:30 AM, on the 5M chart, price makes one more test of 1.08420 (secondary test of the London low) with a small wick
  • A displacement candle launches: one 5M candle covers 25 pips to the upside, creating a bullish FVG between 1.08440 (C1 high) and 1.08510 (C3 low). CE of FVG = 1.08475
  • The 5M chart shows a bullish MSS — price breaks the prior 5M swing high at 1.08560
  • Price retraces to 1.08480 (into the FVG, near CE)
  • Entry: Long at 1.08480 (limit order at FVG CE)
  • Stop loss: Below FVG low at 1.08440 → Stop = 1.08430 (10 pips below entry)
  • TP1: Internal liquidity at 1.08700 (Asian session high) — 22 pips → 2.2R
  • TP2: Prior session high = 1.09100 — 62 pips → 6.2R
  • TP3: Weekly external liquidity at 1.09250 — 77 pips → 7.7R

Outcome: Price rallies through TP1 at 11:15 AM. Position partially closed (50%). Stop moved to break-even (1.08480). Price reaches TP2 at 1.09100 by 2:30 PM. TP3 remains open as a runner. Total R:R achieved on closed portions: approximately 4.2R weighted average.

ICT 2022 Model bullish EUR/USD trade example showing SSL sweep, displacement, FVG entry

Example setup: London SSL sweep → NY displacement → FVG retracement entry → liquidity target achieved

Example 2: Bearish NQ (Nasdaq Futures) Setup

Daily bias: NQ in a bearish daily structure — price in premium zone above daily equilibrium. Daily OB overhead unmitigated. Draw on liquidity: equal lows at 18,250 (SSL).

London session: From 3:00–5:00 AM, NQ rallies 120 points to sweep the prior day's high at 18,760 — buy-side liquidity taken. Sharp reversal begins within 15 minutes of the sweep. London expectation: bearish distribution in NY.

NY execution:

  • At 9:00 AM, on the 5M NQ chart, price makes a secondary test of 18,745 with a failed breakout (lower high than the London sweep)
  • Bearish displacement candle: one 5M candle covers 55 NQ points down, creating a bearish FVG between 18,700 (C1 low) and 18,645 (C3 high). CE = 18,672
  • 5M bearish MSS confirmed — prior 5M swing low at 18,680 broken
  • Price retraces to 18,670 (near FVG CE)
  • Entry: Short at 18,672
  • Stop: Above FVG high at 18,700 + 5 points = 18,705 → Stop distance = 33 NQ points
  • TP1: Internal SSL at 18,600 — 72 points → 2.2R
  • TP2: Prior session low at 18,400 — 272 points → 8.2R
💡
Key Takeaway

The full ICT 2022 Model trade flow: (1) Daily bias from HTF analysis, (2) London session sweeps one side of liquidity, (3) NY kill zone produces displacement + MSS on LTF, (4) Entry at FVG CE with structural stop, (5) Targets at internal then external liquidity. The two examples above — one forex (EUR/USD) and one index (NQ) — show the model applies across asset classes with the same rules.

📝
What to Note Down
  • Bullish scenario: Daily in discount → London sweeps SSL → NY bullish → FVG CE entry long
  • Bearish scenario: Daily in premium → London sweeps BSL → NY bearish → FVG CE entry short
  • Both examples use the identical 6-step framework — only direction differs
  • R:R achieved in both examples exceeded the 1:3 minimum
  • Partial closes at TP1 + stop to break-even is the core exit management strategy

Quick Quiz

1. In the EUR/USD example, why was the daily bias established as BULLISH?

2. In the NQ bearish example, what did the London session sweep tell traders about New York's expected direction?

3. In both examples, what happened to the stop loss after TP1 was reached?

Module 4
Sub-Strategies Within the ICT Framework
The Unicorn Model, Turtle Soup, and Judas Swing are not standalone strategies — they are advanced expressions of the ICT 2022 Model that occur in specific, identifiable conditions.
Lesson 4.1

The Unicorn Model — FVG Inside a Breaker Block

⏱ 11 min read

The Unicorn Model is ICT's name for a high-precision entry that occurs when a Fair Value Gap forms directly inside a Breaker Block. The overlap of these two structures — the FVG sitting within the Breaker — creates what ICT calls a "Unicorn Zone," the highest-probability entry in his entire model.

Recap: What is a Breaker Block?

A Breaker Block is a failed Order Block that has been transformed into a new support or resistance zone after a liquidity sweep and market structure shift:

  1. An order block forms (bullish or bearish)
  2. Price approaches and initially rejects the OB
  3. A liquidity sweep occurs — price breaks through the OB, hunting the stops behind it
  4. A Market Structure Shift (MSS) follows — the broken OB is now a Breaker Block
  5. The Breaker Block acts in the opposite direction: a broken bullish OB becomes a bearish Breaker; a broken bearish OB becomes a bullish Breaker

The Unicorn Formation Sequence

For a Unicorn to form, all of the following must occur in this exact sequence:

1
HTF context confirmed

Daily bias must be established (discount for bullish, premium for bearish). Higher timeframes must agree.

2
Liquidity sweep at a key level

Price takes out significant sell-side (bullish Unicorn) or buy-side (bearish Unicorn) liquidity. This creates the setup — the stop hunt that funds the institutional entry.

3
Aggressive MSS with displacement

After the sweep, a strong, aggressive Market Structure Shift occurs. Multiple wide-bodied candles launch in the opposite direction, breaking the recent swing high (bullish) or low (bearish).

4
FVG lands inside the Breaker Block zone

The displacement creates a Fair Value Gap. Critically, that FVG must overlap with — or land inside — the Breaker Block zone created by the failed OB from the prior structure. This overlap is the Unicorn Zone.

5
Entry on retracement

Wait for price to retrace back into the Unicorn Zone (the FVG within the Breaker). Place limit order at the CE of the FVG. Stop: below the FVG low or the Breaker low (whichever is lower).

Unicorn Entry Specifications

ElementBullish UnicornBearish Unicorn
HTF ContextDiscount zone; bullish monthly/weeklyPremium zone; bearish monthly/weekly
Liquidity SweptSell-side (below a swing low)Buy-side (above a swing high)
MSS DirectionBullish (breaks recent swing high)Bearish (breaks recent swing low)
Breaker TypeBullish Breaker (from failed bearish OB)Bearish Breaker (from failed bullish OB)
EntryLimit at FVG CE within Breaker zoneLimit at FVG CE within Breaker zone
StopBelow Breaker low or FVG low (lower)Above Breaker high or FVG high (higher)
TP1Nearest internal BSL (swing high)Nearest internal SSL (swing low)
TimingLondon or NY AM kill zoneLondon or NY AM kill zone
Minimum R:R1:2 (can exceed 1:10)1:2 (can exceed 1:10)

Why the Unicorn is the Highest-Probability Setup

The Unicorn Zone concentrates multiple layers of institutional significance into a single price area:

  • The Breaker Block represents institutional interest that previously drove price in one direction — and now those same institutions are defending the zone from the other side
  • The FVG within it represents an unfilled imbalance — the market's algorithmic obligation to return and fill this zone
  • The liquidity sweep that preceded it provided the fuel — confirming that this is a genuine institutional entry, not retail noise
  • Three independent signals in one zone = dramatically elevated probability
⚠️
Rarity is the Price

Unicorn setups are rare precisely because all three conditions (Breaker + FVG overlap + liquidity sweep) must align simultaneously. You may see only 2–4 high-quality Unicorns per month per instrument. Do not force the pattern — if the FVG does not clearly land inside the Breaker zone, it is not a Unicorn; it is a standard FVG entry.

💡
Key Takeaway

The Unicorn Model requires: (1) HTF bias confirmed, (2) liquidity sweep, (3) aggressive MSS creating a Breaker Block, (4) the displacement FVG landing inside the Breaker zone. The overlap creates the Unicorn Zone — the highest conviction entry in the ICT 2022 framework. It is rare, but when it appears, the minimum target is 1:2 R:R with frequent outcomes of 1:5 to 1:10+.

📝
What to Note Down
  • Unicorn Zone = FVG overlapping inside a Breaker Block
  • Breaker Block = a failed OB that has been transformed by a liquidity sweep + MSS
  • Formation: sweep → aggressive MSS → displacement FVG lands inside prior Breaker zone
  • Entry: limit at FVG CE within Breaker; Stop: below Breaker/FVG low (whichever lower)
  • Frequency: 2–4 quality Unicorns per month per instrument — do not force
  • Minimum R:R: 1:2, often 1:5 to 1:10+

Quick Quiz

1. What is the defining condition that creates a "Unicorn Zone"?

2. A Breaker Block is formed from:

3. How frequently should a high-quality Unicorn setup appear per instrument per month?

Lesson 4.2

Turtle Soup — Trading False Breakouts

⏱ 9 min read

The Turtle Soup setup is named after the legendary Turtle Traders of the 1980s, who were famous for trading breakouts of 20-day and 55-day highs/lows. The ICT Turtle Soup does the exact opposite — it exploits the failure of those breakouts, capitalising on the liquidity grab that occurs when obvious breakout levels are briefly violated and then sharply reversed.

Core Concept: False Breakouts Are Liquidity Events

When price breaks a significant swing high or low, two things happen simultaneously:

  1. Breakout buy stops trigger (for a high breakout): momentum traders place buy stop orders above swing highs. When price breaks above, they enter long. This provides sell-side liquidity for institutions to sell into.
  2. Short stop-losses trigger: traders short at swing highs have their stops above the level. As price breaks above, their stops are hit — adding more buying pressure for institutions to unload into.

Smart money uses the breakout to fill their selling orders at ideal prices — then immediately reverses the market, leaving all those breakout buyers trapped at the top. The "false breakout" is not an accident; it is the institutional mechanism for filling large positions.

Bullish Turtle Soup (Long Entry)

1
Identify a significant SSL (sell-side liquidity) level

Mark the prior session low, a well-defined swing low, or an equal lows formation on the 15M chart. This is the turtle level — where retail longs have their stops and where breakout sellers await.

2
Wait for the false breakdown

Price breaks below the SSL level — triggering the breakout sellers and the long stop-losses. This should be brief (1–3 candles). The key: price closes back above the SSL within the same session.

3
Look for immediate reversal and LTF MSS

On the 5M or 1M chart, after the sweep, watch for a bullish MSS — price breaks a recent 5M swing high after the reversal begins. This confirms smart money is now long.

4
Find the FVG or OB in the displacement

The reversal displacement creates a FVG on the 1M/5M chart. Enter long at the CE of this FVG on retracement, or at the LTF order block.

5
Stop below the sweep low; Target: BSL above

Stop: just below the lowest point of the false breakdown (the actual sweep extreme). Target: the nearest BSL above (equal highs, prior session high). Expected R:R: 3:1 to 4:1 when valid.

Bearish Turtle Soup (Short Entry)

Mirror of the bullish setup:

  • Mark significant BSL (buy-side liquidity) — swing high, equal highs, prior session high
  • Price briefly breaks above the BSL level (false breakout), sweeping buy-stops
  • Sharp reversal back below the level — LTF bearish MSS confirmed
  • Enter short at FVG CE on LTF retracement
  • Stop: above the sweep high. Target: next SSL below (equal lows, prior session low)

Key Distinction: Turtle Soup vs. Breaker Block

FeatureTurtle SoupBreaker Block
TriggerFalse breakout of a swing high/lowFailed order block (OB first led to trend, then was swept)
EntryAfter the sweep reversal on LTFOn retracement to the failed OB zone
Time sensitivityEntry must be taken quickly after the sweepCan wait for a slow retracement over hours
Risk managementMove to BE at 1R — Turtle Soup must move fast or it's invalidCan tolerate slower development
ℹ️
ICT's Rule: Turtle Soup Must Move Fast

ICT is explicit that a valid Turtle Soup trade "should move away from entry quickly." If after 1R of profit the trade stalls, take partial profits and move to break-even aggressively. A Turtle Soup that fails to move within 5–10 candles of the entry is a failed setup — exit or tighten stop.

💡
Key Takeaway

Turtle Soup trades the failure of obvious breakouts. When a significant swing high or low is briefly violated and immediately reversed, institutions used the breakout as liquidity to fill their opposite-direction orders. Enter in the direction of the reversal at the LTF FVG CE, stop beyond the sweep extreme, target the opposing liquidity pool. Move to break-even aggressively — these trades should move fast.

📝
What to Note Down
  • Turtle Soup = false breakout of a significant swing high/low used as a liquidity event
  • Bullish: false breakdown below SSL → reversal → MSS → long at LTF FVG CE
  • Bearish: false breakout above BSL → reversal → MSS → short at LTF FVG CE
  • Stop: beyond the sweep extreme; Target: opposing liquidity (3–4R)
  • Turtle Soup must move fast — if stalling at 1R, take profits and tighten stop
  • Differs from Breaker Block: Turtle Soup is immediate; Breaker is a retracement setup

Quick Quiz

1. What makes a Turtle Soup setup different from a genuine breakout?

2. In a bearish Turtle Soup, where is the stop loss placed?

3. According to ICT, what should happen to a valid Turtle Soup trade once it reaches 1R profit?

Lesson 4.3

The Judas Swing — ICT's Manipulation Phase

⏱ 9 min read

The Judas Swing is the ICT name for the manipulation phase of the daily Power of Three (AMD). Like Judas Iscariot's betrayal, it is a deception — a price move that appears to be going one direction but is actually setting up for the opposite. It is one of the most consistent intraday patterns in the model because it occurs almost every trading day.

Definition and Timing

The Judas Swing forms between New York midnight (00:00 EST) and 5:00 AM EST, with the highest frequency occurring between 3:00 AM and 5:00 AM EST — coinciding with the London open kill zone.

Bullish Day Judas
On a day that will close bullish, the Judas Swing is a false bearish move below the NY midnight opening price. It sweeps sell-side liquidity (long stops) before the real bullish move begins.
Bearish Day Judas
On a day that will close bearish, the Judas Swing is a false bullish move above the midnight open. It sweeps buy-side liquidity (short stops) before the real bearish move.
The Midnight Open
The New York midnight price (00:00 EST) is the reference point. Any move away from this price during London is potentially a Judas Swing — a manipulation before distribution.
Reversal Signal
The Judas Swing ends with a Market Structure Shift on a lower timeframe, a strong reversal displacement candle, and — critically — the creation of an FVG for entry.

How to Trade the Judas Swing

Bullish Judas Swing Setup (Long Trade):

  1. Mark the New York midnight opening price on your 15M chart
  2. At London open (2:00–5:00 AM EST), if price makes a false move below the midnight open → Judas candidate
  3. The move should sweep a visible SSL level (prior day's low, Asian session low, equal lows)
  4. Look for a sharp reversal: price recrosses the midnight open level on the upside
  5. On 1M/5M: identify the bullish MSS (swing high break) and the FVG created
  6. Enter long at FVG CE; Stop: below the Judas Swing low (the lowest point of the false move)
  7. Target: prior day's high (BSL) or equal highs above
  8. Stop loss distance: 10–20 pips on FX major pairs; ~30–60 NQ points

Bearish Judas Swing Setup (Short Trade):

  1. Mark midnight open
  2. London creates a false rally above the midnight open, sweeping a BSL level
  3. Price fails to hold above the midnight open — reversal to the downside
  4. LTF bearish MSS + FVG created
  5. Enter short at FVG CE; Stop: above Judas Swing high
  6. Target: prior day's low (SSL)

Power of Three Alignment

The Judas Swing is the "M" (Manipulation) in the Power of Three. When you identify it correctly, you automatically know the "D" (Distribution) direction:

  • Judas Swing = false bearish → Distribution = bullish (day closes high)
  • Judas Swing = false bullish → Distribution = bearish (day closes low)
ℹ️
Judas Swing vs. Real Trend Day

On days when London confirms the daily bias (instead of reversing it), you do not have a Judas Swing — you have a trending day where London and New York both move in the same direction. The Judas Swing specifically requires London to move against the eventual daily direction. If London is strong in one direction all session, the Judas model does not apply.

💡
Key Takeaway

The Judas Swing is the daily manipulation phase — a false directional move during London (3:00–5:00 AM EST) that sweeps liquidity before the true NY distribution move. Bullish Judas = false drop below midnight open → trade long. Bearish Judas = false rally above midnight open → trade short. Entry at LTF FVG CE, stop beyond the Judas extreme, target the prior session's opposing extreme.

📝
What to Note Down
  • Judas Swing = manipulation phase of daily PO3 (Power of Three)
  • Timing: 3:00–5:00 AM EST (London open) — highest frequency
  • Reference: New York midnight open price (00:00 EST)
  • Bullish: false drop below midnight open → trade long on LTF FVG CE
  • Bearish: false rally above midnight open → trade short on LTF FVG CE
  • Stop: beyond the Judas extreme; Target: prior session's opposing high/low
  • Judas direction opposite to distribution direction — always

Quick Quiz

1. The Judas Swing corresponds to which phase of the ICT Power of Three (AMD)?

2. The Judas Swing uses which price as its reference point?

3. On a day where the Judas Swing produces a false rally above the midnight open, what does the ICT 2022 Model predict for New York?

Module 5
Advanced Application
Translate everything into live market application — which instruments perform best with the model, the conditions that reduce setup quality, and the most common trading errors to avoid.
Lesson 5.1

Best Markets & Market Conditions

⏱ 8 min read

The ICT 2022 Model was specifically designed for algorithmically-driven, highly liquid markets. Not all markets behave the same, and the model performs differently depending on the instrument and market environment. Understanding where the model excels — and where it struggles — prevents costly application errors.

Top-Tier Markets for the ICT 2022 Model

💱

EUR/USD

ICT's primary forex instrument. Most liquid, tightest spreads, clearest institutional patterns. London sweeps and NY distributions are highly reliable. Best pairs for Judas Swing and Silver Bullet.

💷

GBP/USD

Higher volatility than EUR/USD. FVGs and order blocks are more pronounced. Excellent for SMT divergence with EUR/USD. Wider stops required due to volatility.

📈

ES (S&P 500 Futures)

Highly algorithmic index. Equity market sessions create clean kill zone setups. SMT divergence with NQ is extremely reliable for reversals at PD arrays.

💻

NQ (Nasdaq Futures)

ICT's second-most cited index. Higher beta than ES — moves more per point. SMT divergence with ES is the model's most powerful confirmation tool for index traders.

🥇

Gold (XAU/USD)

ICT has publicly stated Gold is one of his primary markets. Responds powerfully to London and NY kill zones. FVGs and order blocks are very clean on Gold's 5M chart.

💵

DXY (Dollar Index)

Negatively correlated to EUR/USD. Used for SMT divergence analysis. Not directly tradeable but critical for bias confirmation across dollar pairs.

Conditions That Improve Model Performance

  • Clear HTF trend: Monthly and weekly structure both trending in the same direction → highest win rate for the daily bias determination
  • Premium or discount extremes: The greater the distance from equilibrium, the higher the reversal conviction. Entries deep in discount (below 30%) or deep in premium (above 70%) outperform mid-range entries
  • Fresh, unmitigated PD arrays: Order blocks and FVGs that have never been touched since formation carry the most institutional weight
  • Kill zone timing: Any setup taken within a kill zone (London 2–5 AM, NY 7–11 AM, NY PM 1–3 PM) has significantly higher institutional backing
  • Clean liquidity levels: Well-defined equal highs/lows with a clear stop concentration → more reliable sweep and reversal

Conditions That Reduce Performance

  • Conflicting HTF structure: Monthly bullish but daily bearish with no clear "retracement" context → avoid trading until structure resolves
  • News events: NFP, FOMC, ECB meetings create chaotic price delivery that overrides normal algorithmic patterns. Avoid trading within 30 minutes on either side of major scheduled releases
  • Asian session setups: Low liquidity; FVGs formed during Asian hours have no institutional backing for the ICT model
  • Price at equilibrium (50%): Mid-range price action produces the most false signals — avoid all entries when price is near the 50% of the dealing range
  • Ranging/choppy markets: When both monthly and weekly are sideways, the draw on liquidity is unclear → reduce position size or stay out
💡
Key Takeaway

The ICT 2022 Model performs best on EUR/USD, GBP/USD, ES, NQ, and Gold during London or New York kill zones, when HTF structure is clearly trending and price is at a premium or discount extreme with fresh PD arrays. Avoid news events, Asian session setups, and price near the dealing range equilibrium. The model is not designed for all market conditions — selectivity is a core skill.

📝
What to Note Down
  • Best markets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, ES, NQ, Gold, DXY (for SMT only)
  • Best conditions: clear HTF trend + premium/discount extreme + fresh PD arrays + kill zone
  • Avoid: news events (±30 min), Asian session FVGs, price at 50% equilibrium, conflicting HTF
  • SMT divergence: EUR/USD vs GBP/USD (forex); ES vs NQ (indices) — most reliable confirmation tool
  • Selectivity is a skill — fewer, higher-quality trades outperform high-volume lower-quality setups

Quick Quiz

1. Which pair does ICT most frequently cite as his primary forex instrument for the 2022 Model?

2. What minimum risk-to-reward ratio does the ICT 2022 Model require?

3. What is the role of the London session in the ICT 2022 Model?

4. In the ICT 2022 Model, what are the primary timeframes used for execution entries?

🎯

ICT 2022 Model — Complete!

You've completed the full ICT 2022 Mentorship Model course. You now understand how to read HTF bias, identify liquidity events, execute on LTF confirmation, and trade the Unicorn, Turtle Soup, and Judas Swing sub-models with precision. Put this to work on live charts.